Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 1290 at 16:00, with a 34% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 1290 Southwest Flight history →	DAL 16:00	SAV 19:20	34%	9%	0.6%	53%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516	2h 50m Atlanta	ATL 12:07 → SAV 13:12DL 940	6h 07m	98%	89%
Southwest Details →	DAL 07:00 → BNA 08:45WN 1519	1h 25m Nashville	BNA 10:10 → SAV 12:35WN 667	4h 35m	96%	85%
Southwest Details →	DAL 06:00 → HOU 07:10WN 1628	2h 15m Houston	HOU 09:25 → SAV 12:40WN 2076	5h 40m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	DAL 10:07 → ATL 13:16DL 441	1h 47m Atlanta	ATL 15:03 → SAV 16:14DL 3014	5h 07m	97%	84%
Delta Details →	DAL 15:59 → ATL 19:14DL 512	3h 32m Atlanta	ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860	6h 54m	98%	82%
Southwest Details →	DAL 08:20 → BNA 10:10WN 434	3h 40m Nashville	BNA 13:50 → SAV 16:15WN 777	6h 55m	99%	81%
Southwest Details →	DAL 07:20 → STL 09:05WN 274	3h 15m St Louis	STL 12:20 → SAV 15:15WN 654	6h 55m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	DAL 12:19 → ATL 15:31DL 1115	2h 19m Atlanta	ATL 17:50 → SAV 18:59DL 527	5h 40m	95%	79%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	DAL 15:59 → ATL 19:14DL 512	52m Atlanta	ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425	4h 18m	73%	61%
Delta Details →	DAL 18:39 → ATL 22:00DL 2780	46m Atlanta	ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860	4h 14m	66%	55%
Southwest Details →	DAL 15:10 → BWI 19:10WN 1283	55m Baltimore	BWI 20:05 → SAV 22:00WN 4375	5h 50m	69%	52%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON