Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 23–27% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


WN 1159 Southwest Flight history →	DEN 11:40	ALB 17:15	23%	5%	0.6%	82%
UA 1662 United Flight history →	DEN 17:42	ALB 23:30	27%	8%	0.6%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albany is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DEN 00:40 → ATL 05:42DL 302	3h 21m Atlanta	ATL 09:03 → ALB 11:22DL 1137	8h 42m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	DEN 06:05 → DTW 10:54DL 1745	3h 49m Detroit	DTW 14:43 → ALB 16:25DL 3785 · flown by SkyWest	8h 20m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	DEN 00:59 → DTW 05:48DL 1096	1h 26m Detroit	DTW 07:14 → ALB 08:56DL 3697 · flown by SkyWest	5h 57m	97%	85%
United Details →	DEN 06:00 → ORD 09:42UA 1377	2h 26m Chicago	ORD 12:08 → ALB 15:17UA 1554	7h 17m	99%	85%
Southwest Details →	DEN 05:45 → BNA 09:15WN 1483	2h 00m Nashville	BNA 11:15 → ALB 14:25WN 159	6h 40m	100%	85%
Southwest Details →	DEN 05:30 → BWI 10:55WN 899	2h 30m Baltimore	BWI 13:25 → ALB 14:45WN 164	7h 15m	100%	84%
Southwest Details →	DEN 07:10 → MDW 10:30WN 114	2h 30m Chicago	MDW 13:00 → ALB 15:50WN 4406	6h 40m	100%	84%
Delta Details →	DEN 13:10 → ATL 18:10DL 824	3h 28m Atlanta	ATL 21:38 → ALB 23:59DL 2584	8h 49m	100%	79%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	DEN 15:13 → PHL 20:59AA 1759	51m Philadelphia	PHL 21:50 → ALB 23:23AA 5877 · flown by Piedmont	6h 10m	68%	54%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON