Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


UA 5514 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	DEN 10:15	HSV 14:14	13%	5%	0.6%	88%
UA 5356 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	DEN 17:45	HSV 21:38	19%	7%	0.6%	75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Huntsville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Huntsville is 1 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DEN 00:40 → ATL 05:42DL 302	2h 23m Atlanta	ATL 08:05 → HSV 08:03DL 3036	6h 23m	100%	93%
Delta Details →	DEN 05:45 → ATL 10:44DL 341	1h 05m Atlanta	ATL 11:49 → HSV 11:44DL 3068	4h 59m	97%	87%
Delta Details →	DEN 07:15 → ATL 12:11DL 431	3h 18m Atlanta	ATL 15:29 → HSV 15:29DL 3026	7h 14m	99%	86%
United Details →	DEN 05:00 → IAH 08:32UA 320	1h 33m Houston	IAH 10:05 → HSV 12:08UA 4315 · flown by CommuteAir	6h 08m	99%	86%
American Details →	DEN 05:00 → DFW 08:05AA 2612	1h 31m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:36 → HSV 11:32AA 3577 · flown by Envoy	5h 32m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	DEN 14:10 → ATL 19:16DL 706	3h 44m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → HSV 23:01DL 3022	7h 51m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	DEN 13:10 → ATL 18:10DL 824	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 20:50 → HSV 20:51DL 3065	6h 41m	100%	83%
American Details →	DEN 06:20 → DFW 09:27AA 2078	3h 45m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:12 → HSV 15:07AA 3580 · flown by Envoy	7h 47m	100%	83%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	DEN 13:10 → ATL 18:10DL 824	50m Atlanta	ATL 19:00 → HSV 19:00DL 3171	4h 50m	71%	58%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON