Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–23% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


UA 2082 United Flight history →	DEN 11:15	RDM 12:53	16%	3%	0.6%	73%
UA 1588 United Flight history →	DEN 19:29	RDM 21:05	23%	5%	0.6%	74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Redmond on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Redmond is 1 h behind Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DEN 05:40 → SLC 07:13DL 2544	3h 32m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:45 → RDM 11:35DL 3727 · flown by SkyWest	6h 55m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	DEN 19:09 → SLC 20:49DL 2663	2h 18m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:07 → RDM 23:58DL 3756 · flown by SkyWest	5h 49m	96%	89%
American Details →	DEN 07:13 → PHX 08:08AA 1404	2h 20m Phoenix	PHX 10:28 → RDM 13:07AA 3770 · flown by Envoy	6h 54m	97%	85%
Alaska Details →	DEN 18:15 → SEA 20:17AS 249	2h 36m Seattle	SEA 22:53 → RDM 23:59AS 2094 · flown by Horizon	6h 44m	95%	82%
United Details →	DEN 18:05 → LAX 19:40UA 2240	1h 40m Los Angeles	LAX 21:20 → RDM 23:35UA 5662 · flown by SkyWest	6h 30m	93%	80%
Delta Details →	DEN 06:30 → SEA 08:26DL 1731	2h 56m Seattle	SEA 11:22 → RDM 12:45DL 3735 · flown by SkyWest	7h 15m	99%	79%
United Details →	DEN 05:15 → SFO 06:53UA 2367	3h 20m San Francisco	SFO 10:13 → RDM 11:57UA 2153	7h 42m	100%	78%
Alaska Details →	DEN 08:00 → PDX 09:46AS 1626	59m Portland	PDX 10:45 → RDM 11:47AS 3073 · flown by SkyWest	4h 47m	87%	77%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	DEN 18:39 → SEA 20:41DL 2543	54m Seattle	SEA 21:35 → RDM 22:57DL 4047 · flown by SkyWest	5h 18m	56%	46%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON