Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 18–23% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


UA 5253 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	DEN 10:52	SHV 14:18	18%	6%	0.6%	86%
UA 5879 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	DEN 17:48	SHV 21:19	23%	8%	0.7%	77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Shreveport on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Shreveport is 1 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	DEN 07:42 → IAH 11:15UA 1720	3h 13m Houston	IAH 14:28 → SHV 15:41UA 5765 · flown by SkyWest	6h 59m	100%	84%
American Details →	DEN 06:20 → DFW 09:27AA 2078	3h 36m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:03 → SHV 14:06AA 4130 · flown by Envoy	6h 46m	100%	82%
United Details →	DEN 10:07 → IAH 13:40UA 1129	2h 30m Houston	IAH 16:10 → SHV 17:21UA 6026 · flown by SkyWest	6h 14m	100%	82%
American Details →	DEN 05:00 → DFW 08:05AA 2612	2h 15m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:20 → SHV 11:34AA 5410 · flown by PSA	5h 34m	99%	82%
United Details →	DEN 13:30 → IAH 17:04UA 1829	2h 46m Houston	IAH 19:50 → SHV 21:03UA 4682 · flown by SkyWest	6h 33m	98%	81%
United Details →	DEN 15:35 → IAH 19:10UA 489	2h 30m Houston	IAH 21:40 → SHV 22:44UA 5395 · flown by SkyWest	6h 09m	96%	80%
Delta Details →	DEN 13:10 → ATL 18:10DL 824	3h 05m Atlanta	ATL 21:15 → SHV 22:04DL 4095 · flown by SkyWest	7h 54m	100%	80%
Delta Details →	DEN 10:52 → ATL 15:52DL 346	3h 13m Atlanta	ATL 19:05 → SHV 19:52DL 3505 · flown by SkyWest	8h 00m	100%	79%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	DEN 13:56 → CLT 19:22AA 1758	58m Charlotte	CLT 20:20 → SHV 21:51AA 6412 · flown by SkyWest	6h 55m	72%	50%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON