Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–21% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


UA 1909 United Flight history →	DEN 09:45	SYR 15:12	13%	3%	0.6%	90%
UA 2350 United Flight history →	DEN 18:10	SYR 23:44	21%	7%	0.6%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Syracuse on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Syracuse is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DEN 00:40 → ATL 05:42DL 302	3h 33m Atlanta	ATL 09:15 → SYR 11:25DL 1375	8h 45m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	DEN 05:45 → ATL 10:44DL 341	1h 53m Atlanta	ATL 12:37 → SYR 14:48DL 2991	7h 03m	98%	84%
American Details →	DEN 07:16 → ORD 11:00AA 2771	2h 23m Chicago	ORD 13:23 → SYR 16:26AA 3819 · flown by Envoy	7h 10m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	DEN 00:59 → DTW 05:48DL 1096	1h 12m Detroit	DTW 07:00 → SYR 08:31DL 4123 · flown by SkyWest	5h 32m	95%	83%
United Details →	DEN 08:00 → ORD 11:44UA 2430	2h 11m Chicago	ORD 13:55 → SYR 16:48UA 2343	6h 48m	99%	81%
Delta Details →	DEN 06:35 → JFK 12:27DL 336	2h 07m New York	JFK 14:34 → SYR 16:11DL 5328 · flown by Endeavor	7h 36m	99%	79%
Delta Details →	DEN 07:15 → ATL 12:11DL 431	3h 32m Atlanta	ATL 15:43 → SYR 17:59DL 2690	8h 44m	99%	79%
American Details →	DEN 14:34 → ORD 18:29AA 1760	2h 25m Chicago	ORD 20:54 → SYR 23:55AA 3817 · flown by Envoy	7h 21m	92%	78%
Tight connection: often missed
JetBlue Details →	DEN 14:45 → BOS 20:43B6 394	52m Boston	BOS 21:35 → SYR 22:51B6 845	6h 06m	59%	41%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON