tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: United via Denver, leaving 11:35, is the safest bet: 73% chance of reaching Spokane on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 59% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 1885 American Flight history → DFW 10:15 GEG 11:59 22% 7% 0.6% 76%
AA 1446 American Flight history → DFW 18:58 GEG 20:45 35% 12% 0.7% 49%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Spokane is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → DFW 08:45 → DEN 10:06UA 644 3h 40m Denver DEN 13:46 → GEG 15:11UA 324 8h 26m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → DFW 05:20 → ATL 08:34DL 401 1h 25m Atlanta ATL 09:59 → GEG 11:40DL 787 8h 20m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → DFW 06:55 → MSP 09:23DL 1276 2h 56m Minneapolis MSP 12:19 → GEG 13:21DL 2437 8h 26m 98% 86%
AlaskaDetails → DFW 17:45 → PDX 19:49AS 646 2h 01m Portland PDX 21:50 → GEG 22:59AS 1356 7h 14m 97% 83%
DeltaDetails → DFW 07:45 → SLC 09:31DL 1291 1h 59m Salt Lake City SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452 6h 27m 96% 82%
AlaskaDetails → DFW 06:24 → SEA 08:45AS 543 1h 10m Seattle SEA 09:55 → GEG 11:00AS 2200 · flown by Horizon 6h 36m 91% 81%
AlaskaDetails → DFW 09:00 → SEA 11:20AS 365 3h 02m Seattle SEA 14:22 → GEG 15:25AS 2074 · flown by Horizon 8h 25m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → DFW 15:34 → MSP 18:03DL 2900 3h 56m Minneapolis MSP 21:59 → GEG 23:06DL 2418 9h 32m 97% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → DFW 18:03 → SEA 20:24AS 322 1h 06m Seattle SEA 21:30 → GEG 22:36AS 2071 · flown by Horizon 6h 33m 75% 52%
AmericanDetails → DFW 19:14 → PHX 19:43AA 818 47m Phoenix PHX 20:30 → GEG 23:06AA 1785 5h 52m 59% 42%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON