Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 15–24% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 6219 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	DFW 10:12	IDA 12:23	15%	6%	0.7%	90%
AA 6467 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	DFW 20:05	IDA 22:11	24%	7%	0.8%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Idaho Falls on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Idaho Falls is 1 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DFW 07:45 → SLC 09:31DL 1291	3h 59m Salt Lake City	SLC 13:30 → IDA 14:36DL 3765 · flown by SkyWest	7h 51m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	DFW 12:30 → SLC 14:20DL 2798	2h 50m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:10 → IDA 18:18DL 3895 · flown by SkyWest	6h 48m	98%	90%
United Details →	DFW 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 773	1h 12m Denver	DEN 08:05 → IDA 09:50UA 5374 · flown by SkyWest	5h 05m	98%	88%
United Details →	DFW 08:45 → DEN 10:06UA 644	3h 44m Denver	DEN 13:50 → IDA 15:34UA 5950 · flown by SkyWest	7h 49m	100%	83%
United Details →	DFW 11:35 → DEN 12:45UA 2049	2h 50m Denver	DEN 15:35 → IDA 17:19UA 5322 · flown by SkyWest	6h 44m	97%	80%
American Details →	DFW 05:00 → ORD 07:38AA 1360	3h 12m Chicago	ORD 10:50 → IDA 13:23AA 6417 · flown by SkyWest	9h 23m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	DFW 18:12 → SLC 20:00DL 2812	1h 30m Salt Lake City	SLC 21:30 → IDA 22:32DL 2608	5h 20m	89%	76%
Alaska Details →	DFW 09:00 → SEA 11:20AS 365	1h 25m Seattle	SEA 12:45 → IDA 15:37AS 3490 · flown by SkyWest	7h 37m	93%	76%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	DFW 14:31 → SLC 16:18DL 2800	52m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:10 → IDA 18:18DL 3895 · flown by SkyWest	4h 47m	74%	68%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON