Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 17% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 2144 American Flight history →	DFW 10:54	MSO 13:17	17%	7%	0.7%	56%
AA 4063 American flown by Envoy Flight history →	DFW 20:06	MSO 22:40	17%	5%	0.7%	73%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Missoula on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Missoula is 1 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DFW 12:30 → SLC 14:20DL 2798	1h 45m Salt Lake City	SLC 16:05 → MSO 17:45DL 3808 · flown by SkyWest	6h 15m	97%	89%
Delta Details →	DFW 07:45 → SLC 09:31DL 1291	1h 24m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:55 → MSO 12:35DL 4112 · flown by SkyWest	5h 50m	95%	88%
American Details →	DFW 05:00 → ORD 07:38AA 1360	2h 03m Chicago	ORD 09:41 → MSO 12:33AA 3718 · flown by Envoy	8h 33m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	DFW 06:55 → MSP 09:23DL 1276	3h 22m Minneapolis	MSP 12:45 → MSO 14:38DL 362	8h 43m	99%	84%
United Details →	DFW 08:45 → DEN 10:06UA 644	3h 54m Denver	DEN 14:00 → MSO 16:20UA 4783 · flown by SkyWest	8h 35m	100%	82%
United Details →	DFW 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 773	47m Denver	DEN 07:40 → MSO 09:55UA 4697 · flown by SkyWest	5h 10m	91%	81%
Delta Details →	DFW 18:12 → SLC 20:00DL 2812	2h 55m Salt Lake City	SLC 22:55 → MSO 00:28 +1DL 1723	7h 16m	96%	80%
Delta Details →	DFW 15:34 → MSP 18:03DL 2900	3h 49m Minneapolis	MSP 21:52 → MSO 23:44DL 2610	9h 10m	96%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	DFW 18:31 → MSP 21:00DL 2873	52m Minneapolis	MSP 21:52 → MSO 23:44DL 2610	6h 13m	73%	56%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON