Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 15–22% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 4019 American flown by Envoy Flight history →	DFW 19:28	MYR 23:16	15%	6%	0.9%	76%
AA 2213 American Flight history →	DFW 11:59	MYR 15:37	22%	7%	1.1%	64%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Myrtle Beach is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	DFW 05:00 → CLT 08:38AA 575	2h 42m Charlotte	CLT 11:20 → MYR 12:36AA 5883 · flown by Piedmont	6h 36m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	DFW 05:20 → ATL 08:34DL 401	3h 14m Atlanta	ATL 11:48 → MYR 13:00DL 3182	6h 40m	100%	85%
American Details →	DFW 05:00 → ORD 07:38AA 1360	1h 22m Chicago	ORD 09:00 → MYR 12:22AA 3733 · flown by Envoy	6h 22m	97%	83%
American Details →	DFW 05:05 → PHL 09:22AA 2358	1h 31m Philadelphia	PHL 10:53 → MYR 13:02AA 6120 · flown by Piedmont	6h 57m	96%	80%
United Details →	DFW 07:08 → ORD 09:50UA 1695	1h 10m Chicago	ORD 11:00 → MYR 14:19UA 1332	6h 11m	95%	79%
Delta Details →	DFW 08:10 → ATL 11:28DL 1627	2h 44m Atlanta	ATL 14:12 → MYR 15:27DL 2467	6h 17m	96%	77%
Delta Details →	DFW 12:17 → ATL 15:35DL 961	2h 13m Atlanta	ATL 17:48 → MYR 19:07DL 1093	5h 50m	98%	76%
American Details →	DFW 11:55 → CLT 15:36AA 1696	3h 16m Charlotte	CLT 18:52 → MYR 20:03AA 2886	7h 08m	99%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	DFW 15:57 → CLT 19:45AA 2407	59m Charlotte	CLT 20:44 → MYR 21:43AA 3123	4h 46m	73%	53%
American Details →	DFW 14:48 → LGA 19:22AA 610	51m New York	LGA 20:13 → MYR 22:20AA 4335 · flown by Republic	6h 32m	58%	44%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON