Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: AA 2334 at 10:52 is the safest bet, 19% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 32%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 2334 American Flight history →	DFW 10:52	PSP 11:51	19%	5%	0.8%	66%
AA 2709 American Flight history →	DFW 19:35	PSP 20:36	32%	7%	1.0%	61%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Palm Springs is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DFW 07:45 → SLC 09:31DL 1291	1h 14m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:45 → PSP 11:41DL 4042 · flown by SkyWest	5h 56m	94%	87%
Delta Details →	DFW 12:30 → SLC 14:20DL 2798	1h 20m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:40 → PSP 16:33DL 3852 · flown by SkyWest	6h 03m	94%	86%
American Details →	DFW 06:17 → PHX 06:50AA 1854	3h 50m Phoenix	PHX 10:40 → PSP 11:50AA 2330	7h 33m	100%	78%
United Details →	DFW 08:45 → DEN 10:06UA 644	1h 09m Denver	DEN 11:15 → PSP 12:28UA 1294	5h 43m	94%	77%
United Details →	DFW 11:02 → SFO 12:51UA 1712	3h 05m San Francisco	SFO 15:56 → PSP 17:46UA 5354 · flown by SkyWest	8h 44m	98%	74%
Alaska Details →	DFW 06:24 → SEA 08:45AS 543	1h 35m Seattle	SEA 10:20 → PSP 13:14AS 692	8h 50m	96%	71%
United Details →	DFW 15:21 → SFO 17:13UA 454	1h 25m San Francisco	SFO 18:38 → PSP 20:26UA 5705 · flown by SkyWest	7h 05m	90%	67%
American Details →	DFW 16:37 → PHX 17:09AA 1155	3h 14m Phoenix	PHX 20:23 → PSP 21:32AA 4922 · flown by SkyWest	6h 55m	97%	67%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	DFW 11:02 → SFO 12:51UA 1712	49m San Francisco	SFO 13:40 → PSP 15:26UA 5312 · flown by SkyWest	6h 24m	74%	51%
American Details →	DFW 13:40 → PHX 14:08AA 2113	57m Phoenix	PHX 15:05 → PSP 16:10AA 2929	4h 30m	72%	49%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON