Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 4894 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record DTW 20:10 CHA 22:02 22% 13% 0.8% 78%
DL 5117 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record DTW 12:25 CHA 14:14 24% 12% 0.3% 76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Chattanooga on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → DTW 06:17 → ATL 08:11DL 1611 3h 22m Atlanta ATL 11:33 → CHA 12:22DL 1737 6h 05m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375 1h 10m Atlanta ATL 08:20 → CHA 09:19DL 5309 · flown by Endeavor 4h 02m 96% 85%
DeltaDetails → DTW 09:25 → ATL 11:21DL 2777 3h 05m Atlanta ATL 14:26 → CHA 15:17DL 3057 5h 52m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → DTW 07:20 → ATL 09:18DL 965 3h 55m Atlanta ATL 13:13 → CHA 14:02DL 3141 6h 42m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → DTW 05:30 → ORD 05:53UA 3483 · flown by Republic 1h 02m Chicago ORD 06:55 → CHA 09:44UA 4596 · flown by GoJet 4h 14m 93% 82%
UnitedDetails → DTW 07:05 → ORD 07:42UA 5553 · flown by SkyWest 2h 43m Chicago ORD 10:25 → CHA 13:16UA 4543 · flown by GoJet 6h 11m 94% 81%
DeltaDetails → DTW 18:09 → ATL 20:19DL 2053 2h 41m Atlanta ATL 23:00 → CHA 23:55DL 1059 5h 46m 97% 78%
AmericanDetails → DTW 06:00 → CLT 07:51AA 387 3h 34m Charlotte CLT 11:25 → CHA 12:54AA 6127 · flown by Piedmont 6h 54m 98% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON