tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 4645 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record DTW 10:10 HPN 11:58 27% 13% 4.2% 73%
DL 4658 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record DTW 14:01 HPN 15:49 31% 16% 2.4% 69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 09:45 → HPN 12:08DL 2044 6h 51m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → DTW 10:25 → ORD 11:00AA 4103 · flown by Envoy 2h 55m Chicago ORD 13:55 → HPN 17:15AA 4112 · flown by Envoy 6h 50m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → DTW 14:59 → ATL 17:03DL 1983 2h 56m Atlanta ATL 19:59 → HPN 22:25DL 1616 7h 26m 100% 84%
AmericanDetails → DTW 06:00 → CLT 07:51AA 387 3h 15m Charlotte CLT 11:06 → HPN 13:13AA 5180 · flown by PSA 7h 13m 98% 81%
AmericanDetails → DTW 10:00 → CLT 11:55AA 1791 2h 54m Charlotte CLT 14:49 → HPN 16:56AA 5606 · flown by PSA 6h 56m 100% 77%
DeltaDetails → DTW 09:00 → MSP 09:54DL 2258 2h 52m Minneapolis MSP 12:46 → HPN 16:30DL 4680 · flown by Endeavor 7h 30m 99% 76%
AmericanDetails → DTW 13:41 → CLT 15:35AA 1781 2h 45m Charlotte CLT 18:20 → HPN 20:29AA 5016 · flown by PSA 6h 48m 97% 74%
DeltaDetails → DTW 06:17 → ATL 08:11DL 1611 3h 49m Atlanta ATL 12:00 → HPN 14:28DL 5435 · flown by Endeavor 8h 11m 99% 70%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON