Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 1145 at 08:45, with a 10% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 1145 Delta Flight history →	DTW 08:45	MYR 10:39	10%	4%	0.8%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	DTW 05:50 → BWI 07:20WN 4534	1h 00m Baltimore	BWI 08:20 → MYR 09:55WN 2997	4h 05m	97%	91%
American Details →	DTW 06:00 → CLT 07:51AA 387	3h 29m Charlotte	CLT 11:20 → MYR 12:36AA 5883 · flown by Piedmont	6h 36m	98%	91%
Southwest Details →	DTW 06:30 → BNA 07:05WN 4581	3h 55m Nashville	BNA 11:00 → MYR 13:25WN 2412	6h 55m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	DTW 09:00 → MSP 09:54DL 2258	3h 02m Minneapolis	MSP 12:56 → MYR 16:40DL 2327	7h 40m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	DTW 06:17 → ATL 08:11DL 1611	3h 37m Atlanta	ATL 11:48 → MYR 13:00DL 3182	6h 43m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375	2h 20m Atlanta	ATL 09:30 → MYR 10:47DL 3047	5h 30m	98%	82%
American Details →	DTW 06:41 → DCA 08:31AA 5244 · flown by PSA	1h 13m Washington	DCA 09:44 → MYR 11:22AA 5300 · flown by PSA	4h 41m	94%	82%
American Details →	DTW 06:45 → ORD 07:30AA 6465 · flown by SkyWest	1h 30m Chicago	ORD 09:00 → MYR 12:22AA 3733 · flown by Envoy	5h 37m	95%	81%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	DTW 17:45 → BWI 19:15WN 1526	55m Baltimore	BWI 20:10 → MYR 21:45WN 4220	4h 00m	72%	56%
American Details →	DTW 17:22 → LGA 19:18AA 4630 · flown by Republic	55m New York	LGA 20:13 → MYR 22:20AA 4335 · flown by Republic	4h 58m	74%	56%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON