Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 2926 at 08:30, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2926 Delta Flight history →	DTW 08:30	PBI 11:30	14%	3%	1.2%	97%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach West Palm Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375	55m Atlanta	ATL 08:05 → PBI 09:56DL 1311	4h 39m	94%	85%
Delta Details →	DTW 06:17 → ATL 08:11DL 1611	1h 41m Atlanta	ATL 09:52 → PBI 11:45DL 1527	5h 28m	98%	82%
Southwest Details →	DTW 05:50 → BWI 07:20WN 4534	55m Baltimore	BWI 08:15 → PBI 10:50WN 1041	5h 00m	97%	81%
Delta Details →	DTW 07:20 → ATL 09:18DL 965	1h 45m Atlanta	ATL 11:03 → PBI 12:54DL 1190	5h 34m	97%	80%
United Details →	DTW 06:00 → EWR 07:45UA 3652 · flown by Republic	1h 21m Newark	EWR 09:06 → PBI 12:06UA 2018	6h 06m	98%	80%
American Details →	DTW 06:10 → PHL 07:56AA 5170 · flown by PSA	49m Philadelphia	PHL 08:45 → PBI 11:33AA 2271	5h 23m	92%	75%
Delta Details →	DTW 08:25 → ATL 10:20DL 1653	3h 38m Atlanta	ATL 13:58 → PBI 15:50DL 838	7h 25m	100%	75%
Delta Details →	DTW 18:09 → ATL 20:19DL 2053	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 22:59 → PBI 00:51 +1DL 1065	6h 42m	97%	75%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON