tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–22% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 1797 Delta Flight history → DTW 08:25 RSW 11:15 16% 3% 13.1% 83%
DL 1225 Delta Flight history → DTW 14:28 RSW 17:22 22% 7% 12.2% 79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375 55m Atlanta ATL 08:05 → RSW 09:43DL 1089 4h 26m 94% 73%
DeltaDetails → DTW 16:20 → MSP 17:12DL 2203 2h 17m Minneapolis MSP 19:29 → RSW 23:52DL 2268 7h 32m 98% 72%
UnitedDetails → DTW 05:30 → ORD 05:53UA 3483 · flown by Republic 1h 12m Chicago ORD 07:05 → RSW 11:14UA 1740 5h 44m 93% 71%
DeltaDetails → DTW 07:01 → MSP 07:53DL 1746 1h 12m Minneapolis MSP 09:05 → RSW 13:27DL 2400 6h 26m 95% 71%
SouthwestDetails → DTW 06:55 → STL 07:30WN 1783 2h 25m St Louis STL 09:55 → RSW 13:25WN 4940 6h 30m 96% 71%
UnitedDetails → DTW 07:05 → ORD 07:42UA 5553 · flown by SkyWest 2h 53m Chicago ORD 10:35 → RSW 14:44UA 1102 7h 39m 96% 70%
DeltaDetails → DTW 07:20 → ATL 09:18DL 965 3h 35m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196 7h 15m 99% 68%
DeltaDetails → DTW 09:00 → MSP 09:54DL 2258 2h 51m Minneapolis MSP 12:45 → RSW 17:06DL 402 8h 06m 99% 68%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → DTW 17:45 → BWI 19:15WN 1526 1h 00m Baltimore BWI 20:15 → RSW 22:55WN 4232 5h 10m 73% 44%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON