tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 4191 United flown by GoJet no forecast: 12-month record EWR 08:30 CAE 10:39 15% 5% 0.0% 85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbia on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → EWR 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 2353 1h 50m Atlanta ATL 10:05 → CAE 11:14DL 5091 · flown by Endeavor 5h 16m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → EWR 07:05 → ATL 09:20DL 1673 2h 40m Atlanta ATL 12:00 → CAE 12:59DL 2944 5h 54m 98% 88%
AmericanDetails → EWR 05:00 → CLT 06:57AA 1113 2h 38m Charlotte CLT 09:35 → CAE 10:44AA 6042 · flown by Piedmont 5h 44m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → EWR 08:30 → ATL 10:51DL 2365 3h 14m Atlanta ATL 14:05 → CAE 15:06DL 3193 6h 36m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → EWR 16:29 → ATL 19:14DL 2322 3h 25m Atlanta ATL 22:39 → CAE 23:43DL 3029 7h 14m 97% 80%
AmericanDetails → EWR 07:30 → CLT 09:35AA 1575 3h 27m Charlotte CLT 13:02 → CAE 14:07AA 6047 · flown by Piedmont 6h 37m 98% 79%
DeltaDetails → EWR 10:31 → ATL 12:53DL 2325 3h 15m Atlanta ATL 16:08 → CAE 17:13DL 2153 6h 42m 99% 78%
DeltaDetails → EWR 12:00 → ATL 14:30DL 2397 3h 16m Atlanta ATL 17:46 → CAE 18:49DL 1516 6h 49m 99% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → EWR 15:08 → IAD 16:32UA 1992 49m Dulles IAD 17:21 → CAE 19:09UA 4364 · flown by CommuteAir 4h 01m 65% 52%
AmericanDetails → EWR 19:29 → CLT 21:32AA 1811 1h 23m Charlotte CLT 22:55 → CAE 23:58AA 5791 · flown by Piedmont 4h 29m 68% 48%
AmericanDetails → EWR 17:21 → ORD 19:23AA 1936 51m Chicago ORD 20:14 → CAE 23:19AA 4275 · flown by Envoy 5h 58m 59% 47%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON