Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


UA 4419 United flown by GoJet no forecast: 12-month record	EWR 14:39	CHA 17:02	30%	20%	2.8%	70%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Chattanooga on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	EWR 07:15 → ORD 09:00UA 2800	1h 25m Chicago	ORD 10:25 → CHA 13:16UA 4543 · flown by GoJet	6h 01m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	EWR 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 2353	3h 18m Atlanta	ATL 11:33 → CHA 12:22DL 1737	6h 22m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	EWR 07:05 → ATL 09:20DL 1673	3h 53m Atlanta	ATL 13:13 → CHA 14:02DL 3141	6h 57m	100%	83%
Delta Details →	EWR 08:30 → ATL 10:51DL 2365	3h 35m Atlanta	ATL 14:26 → CHA 15:17DL 3057	6h 47m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	EWR 16:29 → ATL 19:14DL 2322	3h 46m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → CHA 23:55DL 1059	7h 26m	98%	79%
American Details →	EWR 06:00 → CLT 08:01AA 2505	3h 24m Charlotte	CLT 11:25 → CHA 12:54AA 6127 · flown by Piedmont	6h 54m	98%	78%
United Details →	EWR 07:59 → IAH 10:44UA 332	2h 06m Houston	IAH 12:50 → CHA 16:03UA 5091 · flown by SkyWest	8h 04m	97%	76%
Delta Details →	EWR 13:29 → ATL 16:00DL 2401	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 18:40 → CHA 19:33DL 3150	6h 04m	94%	76%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	EWR 15:21 → ATL 17:54DL 2312	46m Atlanta	ATL 18:40 → CHA 19:33DL 3150	4h 12m	70%	57%
American Details →	EWR 19:29 → CLT 21:32AA 1811	1h 03m Charlotte	CLT 22:35 → CHA 00:05 +1AA 6085 · flown by Piedmont	4h 36m	61%	39%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON