tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 4489 United flown by GoJet no forecast: 12-month record EWR 12:09 GSO 13:56 17% 10% 6.2% 83%
UA 4509 United flown by GoJet no forecast: 12-month record EWR 17:27 GSO 19:23 34% 17% 4.6% 66%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Greensboro on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → EWR 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 2353 2h 00m Atlanta ATL 10:15 → GSO 11:34DL 3052 5h 34m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → EWR 07:05 → ATL 09:20DL 1673 3h 29m Atlanta ATL 12:49 → GSO 14:04DL 3060 6h 59m 99% 87%
AmericanDetails → EWR 05:51 → DFW 08:40AA 2728 1h 12m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:52 → GSO 13:37AA 3554 · flown by Envoy 7h 46m 96% 86%
AmericanDetails → EWR 06:00 → CLT 08:01AA 2505 3h 11m Charlotte CLT 11:12 → GSO 12:17AA 5796 · flown by Piedmont 6h 17m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → EWR 06:56 → ORD 08:44AA 3267 2h 31m Chicago ORD 11:15 → GSO 14:19AA 3744 · flown by Envoy 7h 23m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → EWR 08:30 → ATL 10:51DL 2365 3h 24m Atlanta ATL 14:15 → GSO 15:30DL 2539 7h 00m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → EWR 16:29 → ATL 19:14DL 2322 3h 26m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → GSO 23:59DL 3005 7h 30m 97% 80%
DeltaDetails → EWR 13:29 → ATL 16:00DL 2401 3h 42m Atlanta ATL 19:42 → GSO 21:03DL 1473 7h 34m 99% 80%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → EWR 18:59 → ATL 21:54DL 2430 46m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → GSO 23:59DL 3005 5h 00m 68% 56%
AmericanDetails → EWR 12:25 → MIA 15:38AA 2981 1h 11m Miami MIA 16:49 → GSO 19:07AA 3931 · flown by Envoy 6h 42m 72% 53%
AmericanDetails → EWR 19:29 → CLT 21:32AA 1811 1h 29m Charlotte CLT 23:01 → GSO 23:57AA 2802 4h 28m 68% 52%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON