tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: UA 570 at 11:59 is the safest bet, 10% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 20%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 570 United Flight history → EWR 11:59 SAV 14:14 10% 5% 0.7% 84%
UA 2291 United Flight history → EWR 21:29 SAV 23:52 20% 11% 0.8% 81%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → EWR 07:05 → ATL 09:20DL 1673 2h 47m Atlanta ATL 12:07 → SAV 13:12DL 940 6h 07m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → EWR 06:00 → CLT 08:01AA 2505 3h 09m Charlotte CLT 11:10 → SAV 12:35AA 5890 · flown by Piedmont 6h 35m 98% 89%
UnitedDetails → EWR 06:00 → IAD 07:22UA 1366 1h 38m Dulles IAD 09:00 → SAV 10:52UA 2244 4h 52m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → EWR 07:15 → ORD 09:00UA 2800 1h 42m Chicago ORD 10:42 → SAV 14:16UA 2631 7h 01m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → EWR 06:00 → DTW 07:50DL 2596 55m Detroit DTW 08:45 → SAV 10:52DL 1119 4h 52m 94% 86%
DeltaDetails → EWR 08:30 → ATL 10:51DL 2365 2h 41m Atlanta ATL 13:32 → SAV 14:38DL 1067 6h 08m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → EWR 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 2353 1h 08m Atlanta ATL 09:23 → SAV 10:27DL 3054 4h 27m 95% 85%
DeltaDetails → EWR 10:31 → ATL 12:53DL 2325 2h 10m Atlanta ATL 15:03 → SAV 16:14DL 3014 5h 43m 97% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → EWR 16:29 → ATL 19:14DL 2322 52m Atlanta ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425 4h 48m 74% 61%
DeltaDetails → EWR 18:59 → ATL 21:54DL 2430 52m Atlanta ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860 4h 54m 70% 59%
AmericanDetails → EWR 19:29 → CLT 21:32AA 1811 1h 13m Charlotte CLT 22:45 → SAV 23:57AA 1517 4h 28m 67% 49%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON