tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: B6 760 at 13:10 is the safest bet, 29% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 45%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
B6 760 JetBlue Flight history → FLL 13:10 BDL 16:14 29% 13% 1.0% 57%
B6 460 JetBlue Flight history → FLL 20:55 BDL 23:59 45% 21% 3.5% 63%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hartford on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → FLL 08:40 → IAD 11:14UA 2169 1h 26m Dulles IAD 12:40 → BDL 14:06UA 632 5h 26m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631 1h 34m Detroit DTW 10:30 → BDL 12:13DL 2163 6h 13m 98% 88%
SouthwestDetails → FLL 06:25 → BWI 08:55WN 396 1h 45m Baltimore BWI 10:40 → BDL 12:00WN 427 5h 35m 96% 87%
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 59m Atlanta ATL 08:10 → BDL 10:30DL 2951 5h 07m 96% 87%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 1h 55m Atlanta ATL 10:22 → BDL 12:45DL 1082 6h 12m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → FLL 07:02 → ORD 09:30UA 752 1h 33m Chicago ORD 11:03 → BDL 14:24UA 2195 7h 22m 99% 85%
SouthwestDetails → FLL 08:00 → BWI 10:30WN 1651 2h 20m Baltimore BWI 12:50 → BDL 14:10WN 1143 6h 10m 100% 85%
AmericanDetails → FLL 07:10 → PHL 10:01AA 794 2h 50m Philadelphia PHL 12:51 → BDL 14:11AA 6035 · flown by Piedmont 7h 01m 100% 82%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → FLL 18:28 → ATL 20:35DL 2345 56m Atlanta ATL 21:31 → BDL 23:54DL 1011 5h 26m 71% 54%
AmericanDetails → FLL 15:57 → PHL 18:53AA 1855 51m Philadelphia PHL 19:44 → BDL 21:22AA 6107 · flown by Piedmont 5h 25m 69% 38%
JetBlueDetails → FLL 18:35 → JFK 21:39B6 1802 1h 00m New York JFK 22:39 → BDL 23:59B6 675 5h 24m 57% 35%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON