Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 26–36% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


B6 2071 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 11:10	BQN 13:42	26%	8%	1.5%	67%
B6 2471 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 21:59	BQN 00:33	36%	15%	5.1%	25%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Aguadilla on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	FLL 12:46 → EWR 15:50UA 1611	3h 18m Newark	EWR 19:08 → BQN 23:09UA 569	10h 23m	96%	69%
JetBlue Details →	FLL 09:06 → JFK 12:04B6 2102	3h 51m New York	JFK 15:55 → BQN 20:03B6 1039	10h 57m	99%	64%
JetBlue Details →	FLL 10:00 → MCO 11:08B6 2548	3h 22m Orlando	MCO 14:30 → BQN 17:24B6 730	7h 24m	98%	45%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON