tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, B6 1130 at 16:05, with a 36% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 1130 JetBlue Flight history → FLL 16:05 CHS 17:50 36% 12% 1.9% 75%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → FLL 08:40 → IAD 11:14UA 2169 1h 21m Dulles IAD 12:35 → CHS 14:27UA 3487 · flown by Republic 5h 47m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 2h 19m Atlanta ATL 10:46 → CHS 12:00DL 3107 5h 27m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 1h 49m Atlanta ATL 09:00 → CHS 10:13DL 3091 4h 50m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → FLL 07:02 → ORD 09:30UA 752 1h 05m Chicago ORD 10:35 → CHS 14:06UA 3646 · flown by Republic 7h 04m 97% 86%
UnitedDetails → FLL 06:55 → EWR 09:59UA 2603 2h 11m Newark EWR 12:10 → CHS 14:16UA 1760 7h 21m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631 1h 09m Detroit DTW 10:05 → CHS 12:20DL 5431 · flown by Endeavor 6h 20m 97% 84%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326 2h 58m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → CHS 13:42DL 2179 6h 02m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334 2h 52m Atlanta ATL 14:40 → CHS 15:53DL 1381 5h 57m 99% 83%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → FLL 11:29 → LGA 14:24DL 2465 48m New York LGA 15:12 → CHS 17:41DL 5591 · flown by Republic 6h 12m 71% 54%
SouthwestDetails → FLL 16:45 → BWI 19:20WN 4670 55m Baltimore BWI 20:15 → CHS 22:00WN 184 5h 15m 65% 46%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON