Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: B6 814 at 06:55 is the safest bet, 9% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 29%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


B6 814 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 06:55	HPN 09:57	9%	4%	1.2%	80%
B6 914 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 19:55	HPN 22:59	29%	13%	2.4%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	2h 34m Atlanta	ATL 09:45 → HPN 12:08DL 2044	6h 45m	98%	87%
American Details →	FLL 12:15 → ORD 14:46AA 1851	3h 43m Chicago	ORD 18:29 → HPN 21:57AA 3499 · flown by Envoy	9h 42m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	FLL 14:30 → ATL 16:34DL 2063	3h 25m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → HPN 22:25DL 1616	7h 55m	97%	82%
American Details →	FLL 07:44 → CLT 09:53AA 2087	1h 13m Charlotte	CLT 11:06 → HPN 13:13AA 5180 · flown by PSA	5h 29m	94%	78%
American Details →	FLL 10:06 → CLT 12:10AA 1865	2h 39m Charlotte	CLT 14:49 → HPN 16:56AA 5606 · flown by PSA	6h 50m	97%	74%
American Details →	FLL 13:55 → CLT 16:08AA 1877	2h 12m Charlotte	CLT 18:20 → HPN 20:29AA 5016 · flown by PSA	6h 34m	95%	72%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	3h 33m Atlanta	ATL 12:00 → HPN 14:28DL 5435 · flown by Endeavor	7h 55m	99%	70%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	3h 45m Atlanta	ATL 15:33 → HPN 18:03DL 5013 · flown by Endeavor	8h 07m	99%	68%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON