tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: B6 2118 at 13:20 is the safest bet, 32% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 43%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
B6 2118 JetBlue Flight history → FLL 13:20 JAX 14:40 32% 15% 2.1% 68%
B6 978 JetBlue Flight history → FLL 18:40 JAX 20:01 43% 21% 3.9% 62%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Jacksonville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 1h 14m Atlanta ATL 08:25 → JAX 09:36DL 2326 4h 13m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 2h 21m Atlanta ATL 10:48 → JAX 12:00DL 2923 5h 27m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → FLL 07:02 → ORD 09:30UA 752 1h 12m Chicago ORD 10:42 → JAX 14:27UA 2427 7h 25m 98% 85%
UnitedDetails → FLL 07:55 → EWR 10:59UA 2330 2h 02m Newark EWR 13:01 → JAX 15:42UA 2678 7h 47m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326 3h 04m Atlanta ATL 12:37 → JAX 13:45DL 3024 6h 05m 98% 83%
SouthwestDetails → FLL 06:25 → BWI 08:55WN 396 2h 40m Baltimore BWI 11:35 → JAX 13:35WN 970 7h 10m 96% 81%
DeltaDetails → FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334 2h 09m Atlanta ATL 13:57 → JAX 15:09DL 2990 5h 13m 99% 80%
SouthwestDetails → FLL 09:35 → BNA 10:50WN 4638 2h 50m Nashville BNA 13:40 → JAX 16:15WN 542 6h 40m 98% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → FLL 17:35 → HOU 19:15WN 4230 1h 20m Houston HOU 20:35 → JAX 23:55WN 4797 6h 20m 70% 49%
UnitedDetails → FLL 17:24 → EWR 20:35UA 279 47m Newark EWR 21:22 → JAX 23:59UA 2335 6h 35m 65% 47%
AllegiantDetails → FLL 09:49 → CVG 12:22G4 1992 50m Hebron CVG 13:12 → JAX 15:05G4 422 5h 16m 47% 35%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON