tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 34–36% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 4993 Southwest Flight history → FLL 20:50 PIT 23:35 34% 14% 2.1% 42%
B6 2008 JetBlue Flight history → FLL 18:45 PIT 21:28 36% 14% 1.4% 58%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → FLL 05:40 → STL 07:20WN 1874 2h 45m St Louis STL 10:05 → PIT 12:40WN 3971 7h 00m 98% 91%
UnitedDetails → FLL 07:02 → ORD 09:30UA 752 3h 10m Chicago ORD 12:40 → PIT 15:23UA 3432 · flown by Republic 8h 21m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631 1h 09m Detroit DTW 10:05 → PIT 11:18DL 5754 · flown by Republic 5h 18m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 1h 52m Atlanta ATL 09:03 → PIT 10:45DL 1363 5h 22m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 2h 43m Atlanta ATL 11:10 → PIT 12:52DL 1345 6h 19m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → FLL 08:40 → IAD 11:14UA 2169 1h 42m Dulles IAD 12:56 → PIT 14:03UA 2066 5h 23m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334 2h 20m Atlanta ATL 14:08 → PIT 15:50DL 1353 5h 54m 99% 87%
SouthwestDetails → FLL 06:25 → BWI 08:55WN 396 1h 45m Baltimore BWI 10:40 → PIT 11:45WN 1052 5h 20m 96% 85%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → FLL 17:33 → ORD 20:16AA 2440 52m Chicago ORD 21:08 → PIT 23:52AA 4539 · flown by Republic 6h 19m 61% 52%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON