tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:23, is the safest bet: 86% chance of reaching San Jose on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Jose on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 2h 32m Atlanta ATL 09:43 → SJC 11:30DL 809 9h 07m 98% 86%
SouthwestDetails → FLL 05:55 → MDW 07:55WN 1866 2h 10m Chicago MDW 10:05 → SJC 12:30WN 3752 9h 35m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:53 → LAX 10:05DL 800 2h 52m Los Angeles LAX 12:57 → SJC 14:12DL 3842 · flown by SkyWest 9h 19m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → FLL 08:20 → SEA 11:49DL 356 2h 56m Seattle SEA 14:45 → SJC 17:05DL 3897 · flown by SkyWest 11h 45m 100% 84%
SouthwestDetails → FLL 05:00 → HOU 06:30WN 1861 1h 00m Houston HOU 07:30 → SJC 09:20WN 2079 7h 20m 93% 82%
UnitedDetails → FLL 07:00 → IAH 08:45UA 2314 1h 15m Houston IAH 10:00 → SJC 12:03UA 1882 8h 03m 97% 82%
DeltaDetails → FLL 15:32 → ATL 17:42DL 1341 3h 17m Atlanta ATL 20:59 → SJC 22:49DL 933 10h 17m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → FLL 12:08 → ATL 14:00DL 1271 2h 59m Atlanta ATL 16:59 → SJC 18:52DL 2136 9h 44m 99% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON