tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:23, is the safest bet: 88% chance of reaching Salt Lake City on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 66% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 745 Delta Flight history → FLL 18:40 SLC 21:38 28% 10% 1.3% 76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → FLL 05:55 → MDW 07:55WN 1866 2h 05m Chicago MDW 10:00 → SLC 12:25WN 2951 8h 30m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 1h 04m Atlanta ATL 08:15 → SLC 10:14DL 830 6h 51m 96% 88%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 1h 43m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387 7h 37m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631 3h 24m Detroit DTW 12:20 → SLC 14:11DL 935 10h 11m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326 2h 23m Atlanta ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663 8h 10m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:06 → JFK 10:00DL 2165 1h 14m New York JFK 11:14 → SLC 14:21DL 917 9h 15m 97% 83%
UnitedDetails → FLL 07:02 → ORD 09:30UA 752 3h 15m Chicago ORD 12:45 → SLC 15:22UA 1955 10h 20m 100% 82%
DeltaDetails → FLL 14:47 → MSP 17:39DL 673 2h 41m Minneapolis MSP 20:20 → SLC 22:13DL 1051 9h 26m 97% 82%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → FLL 15:57 → PHL 18:53AA 1855 1h 01m Philadelphia PHL 19:54 → SLC 23:08AA 2610 9h 11m 73% 55%
DeltaDetails → FLL 16:46 → ATL 18:47DL 1413 47m Atlanta ATL 19:34 → SLC 21:37DL 660 6h 51m 66% 50%
AmericanDetails → FLL 17:29 → DFW 19:49AA 1862 1h 21m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:10 → SLC 22:59AA 2993 7h 30m 75% 48%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON