tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, B6 1738 at 16:30, with a 30% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 1738 JetBlue Flight history → FLL 16:30 SYR 19:40 30% 15% 2.1% 75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Syracuse on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 2h 04m Atlanta ATL 09:15 → SYR 11:25DL 1375 6h 02m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631 2h 35m Detroit DTW 11:31 → SYR 13:01DL 3533 · flown by SkyWest 7h 01m 99% 86%
AmericanDetails → FLL 07:10 → PHL 10:01AA 794 3h 11m Philadelphia PHL 13:12 → SYR 14:34AA 5924 · flown by Piedmont 7h 24m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326 3h 04m Atlanta ATL 12:37 → SYR 14:48DL 2991 7h 08m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → FLL 08:40 → IAD 11:14UA 2169 1h 21m Dulles IAD 12:35 → SYR 14:04UA 4499 · flown by GoJet 5h 24m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334 3h 55m Atlanta ATL 15:43 → SYR 17:59DL 2690 8h 03m 99% 79%
DeltaDetails → FLL 14:47 → MSP 17:39DL 673 2h 21m Minneapolis MSP 20:00 → SYR 23:13DL 2097 8h 26m 97% 79%
UnitedDetails → FLL 12:26 → ORD 14:55UA 1755 3h 14m Chicago ORD 18:09 → SYR 21:08UA 2481 8h 42m 98% 76%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → FLL 18:28 → ATL 20:35DL 2345 1h 00m Atlanta ATL 21:35 → SYR 23:48DL 2123 5h 20m 74% 56%
AmericanDetails → FLL 16:26 → DFW 18:39AA 2014 46m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:25 → SYR 23:40AA 421 7h 14m 61% 39%
JetBlueDetails → FLL 18:35 → JFK 21:39B6 1802 50m New York JFK 22:29 → SYR 00:03 +1B6 1516 5h 28m 48% 34%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON