Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: AA 484 at 05:16 is the safest bet, 8% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 20%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 484 American Flight history →	GEG 05:16	DFW 10:55	8%	2%	0.7%	91%
AA 1885 American Flight history →	GEG 12:49	DFW 18:34	20%	6%	0.7%	62%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Spokane). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	GEG 05:00 → DEN 08:20UA 1234	1h 20m Denver	DEN 09:40 → DFW 12:48UA 355	5h 48m	97%	88%
Delta Details →	GEG 05:20 → SLC 08:02DL 1440	1h 48m Salt Lake City	SLC 09:50 → DFW 13:30DL 2800	6h 10m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	GEG 12:35 → MSP 17:29DL 1853	2h 21m Minneapolis	MSP 19:50 → DFW 22:21DL 2967	7h 46m	99%	82%
United Details →	GEG 13:41 → DEN 16:57UA 1255	3h 56m Denver	DEN 20:53 → DFW 23:59UA 2239	8h 18m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	GEG 07:00 → MSP 11:52DL 1615	2h 55m Minneapolis	MSP 14:47 → DFW 17:16DL 2971	8h 16m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	GEG 12:50 → ATL 20:19DL 787	2h 35m Atlanta	ATL 22:54 → DFW 00:13 +1DL 818	9h 23m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	GEG 09:50 → SLC 12:41DL 4444 · flown by SkyWest	1h 09m Salt Lake City	SLC 13:50 → DFW 17:33DL 2811	5h 43m	100%	79%
United Details →	GEG 11:09 → ORD 17:00UA 5623 · flown by SkyWest	2h 50m Chicago	ORD 19:50 → DFW 22:36UA 1673	9h 27m	99%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON