Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 1882 at 06:25, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 1882 Southwest Flight history →	GEG 06:25	MDW 11:55	6%	1%	0.6%	96%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Chicago on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Spokane). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	GEG 06:00 → DEN 09:10WN 1333	3h 50m Denver	DEN 13:00 → MDW 16:20WN 1601	8h 20m	100%	79%
Southwest Details →	GEG 05:25 → PHX 08:00WN 1884	2h 00m Phoenix	PHX 10:00 → MDW 15:15WN 4066	7h 50m	96%	77%
Southwest Details →	GEG 14:15 → DEN 17:30WN 1880	3h 20m Denver	DEN 20:50 → MDW 00:15 +1WN 1615	8h 00m	100%	76%
Southwest Details →	GEG 09:50 → LAS 12:10WN 1782	3h 55m Las Vegas	LAS 16:05 → MDW 21:45WN 2274	9h 55m	100%	69%
Southwest Details →	GEG 11:50 → DEN 15:05WN 859	2h 30m Denver	DEN 17:35 → MDW 21:00WN 1604	7h 10m	99%	69%
Delta Details →	GEG 12:50 → ATL 20:19DL 787	56m Atlanta	ATL 21:15 → MDW 22:15DL 1076	7h 25m	84%	67%
Southwest Details →	GEG 12:55 → SAN 15:35WN 1887	1h 55m San Diego	SAN 17:30 → MDW 23:30WN 3448	8h 35m	98%	64%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON