tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 4251 United flown by CommuteAir no forecast: 12-month record GSO 06:15 IAD 07:33 9% 6% 0.7% 91%
UA 4327 United flown by CommuteAir no forecast: 12-month record GSO 15:00 IAD 16:18 33% 7% 6.2% 67%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dulles on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → GSO 05:25 → ATL 06:38DL 3018 1h 05m Atlanta ATL 07:43 → IAD 09:26DL 1324 4h 01m 96% 89%
DeltaDetails → GSO 06:35 → ATL 07:56DL 3004 1h 54m Atlanta ATL 09:50 → IAD 11:37DL 1444 5h 02m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → GSO 07:24 → CLT 08:25AA 3965 · flown by Envoy 2h 40m Charlotte CLT 11:05 → IAD 12:38AA 5220 · flown by PSA 5h 14m 100% 87%
AmericanDetails → GSO 05:16 → CLT 06:09AA 1078 1h 11m Charlotte CLT 07:20 → IAD 08:49AA 5219 · flown by PSA 3h 33m 95% 87%
DeltaDetails → GSO 08:14 → ATL 09:37DL 1085 2h 40m Atlanta ATL 12:17 → IAD 14:01DL 2135 5h 47m 95% 83%
DeltaDetails → GSO 10:14 → ATL 11:31DL 3173 3h 28m Atlanta ATL 14:59 → IAD 16:46DL 1695 6h 32m 100% 82%
DeltaDetails → GSO 06:00 → DTW 07:45DL 5088 · flown by Endeavor 1h 05m Detroit DTW 08:50 → IAD 10:23DL 2884 4h 23m 91% 82%
UnitedDetails → GSO 06:00 → EWR 07:42UA 4580 · flown by GoJet 2h 23m Newark EWR 10:05 → IAD 11:28UA 1691 5h 28m 97% 81%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → GSO 19:02 → DTW 20:45DL 5514 · flown by Endeavor 53m Detroit DTW 21:38 → IAD 23:13DL 3988 · flown by SkyWest 4h 11m 65% 53%
AmericanDetails → GSO 18:39 → CLT 19:45AA 1895 46m Charlotte CLT 20:31 → IAD 22:05AA 5549 · flown by PSA 3h 26m 63% 50%
AmericanDetails → GSO 16:11 → CLT 17:20AA 5797 · flown by Piedmont 50m Charlotte CLT 18:10 → IAD 19:40AA 1450 3h 29m 61% 46%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON