Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 1962 at 12:40, with a 24% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 1962 Southwest Flight history →	HOU 12:40	CHS 16:05	24%	5%	3.7%	45%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charleston is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557	1h 41m Atlanta	ATL 10:46 → CHS 12:00DL 3107	5h 00m	98%	85%
Southwest Details →	HOU 05:25 → BWI 09:30WN 3797	2h 05m Baltimore	BWI 11:35 → CHS 13:15WN 899	6h 50m	100%	85%
Southwest Details →	HOU 09:25 → AUS 10:20WN 270	2h 45m Austin	AUS 13:05 → CHS 16:45WN 269	6h 20m	100%	83%
Southwest Details →	HOU 07:10 → BNA 09:10WN 1954	1h 00m Nashville	BNA 10:10 → CHS 12:40WN 469	4h 30m	95%	83%
Southwest Details →	HOU 09:05 → BNA 11:00WN 5068	2h 05m Nashville	BNA 13:05 → CHS 15:35WN 470	5h 30m	100%	80%
Delta Details →	HOU 17:17 → ATL 20:32DL 2381	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 23:10 → CHS 00:26 +1DL 2850	6h 09m	96%	78%
Southwest Details →	HOU 07:00 → DAL 08:10WN 4	2h 55m Dallas	DAL 11:05 → CHS 14:35WN 4700	6h 35m	100%	77%
Delta Details →	HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509	3h 53m Atlanta	ATL 17:39 → CHS 18:54DL 3179	7h 14m	100%	76%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON