Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 2019 at 07:45, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 2019 Southwest Flight history →	HOU 07:45	LGB 09:00	9%	2%	3.2%	81%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Long Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Long Beach is 2 h behind Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	HOU 05:30 → LAS 06:30WN 3671	1h 25m Las Vegas	LAS 07:55 → LGB 09:05WN 276	5h 35m	100%	85%
Southwest Details →	HOU 06:20 → PHX 06:55WN 2062	1h 40m Phoenix	PHX 08:35 → LGB 09:55WN 165	5h 35m	99%	85%
Southwest Details →	HOU 09:05 → BNA 11:00WN 5068	3h 35m Nashville	BNA 14:35 → LGB 16:50WN 1427	9h 45m	100%	81%
Southwest Details →	HOU 07:35 → OAK 09:30WN 2056	1h 00m Oakland	OAK 10:30 → LGB 11:55WN 1328	6h 20m	91%	80%
Southwest Details →	HOU 12:55 → DEN 14:25WN 3069	3h 50m Denver	DEN 18:15 → LGB 20:00WN 1037	9h 05m	100%	76%
Southwest Details →	HOU 09:25 → AUS 10:20WN 270	2h 55m Austin	AUS 13:15 → LGB 14:10WN 4915	6h 45m	100%	76%
Southwest Details →	HOU 07:35 → SMF 09:25WN 2082	3h 45m Sacramento	SMF 13:10 → LGB 14:40WN 2414	9h 05m	100%	75%
Southwest Details →	HOU 08:10 → MDW 10:40WN 1294	2h 35m Chicago	MDW 13:15 → LGB 15:30WN 4413	9h 20m	100%	75%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON