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Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 2076 at 09:25, with a 10% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 2076 Southwest Flight history → HOU 09:25 SAV 12:40 10% 2% 3.2% 91%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557 3h 02m Atlanta ATL 12:07 → SAV 13:12DL 940 6h 12m 99% 89%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 07:10 → BNA 09:10WN 1954 1h 00m Nashville BNA 10:10 → SAV 12:35WN 667 4h 25m 95% 83%
DeltaDetails → HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509 3h 04m Atlanta ATL 16:50 → SAV 18:02DL 3112 6h 22m 99% 82%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 09:05 → BNA 11:00WN 5068 2h 50m Nashville BNA 13:50 → SAV 16:15WN 777 6h 10m 100% 81%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 07:20 → STL 09:25WN 4084 2h 55m St Louis STL 12:20 → SAV 15:15WN 654 6h 55m 99% 79%
DeltaDetails → HOU 17:17 → ATL 20:32DL 2381 2h 14m Atlanta ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860 5h 36m 94% 78%
DeltaDetails → HOU 12:55 → ATL 15:59DL 1195 1h 51m Atlanta ATL 17:50 → SAV 18:59DL 527 5h 04m 93% 77%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 14:10 → BNA 16:05WN 478 2h 40m Nashville BNA 18:45 → SAV 21:15WN 669 6h 05m 100% 75%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON