Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 2091 at 15:15, with a 22% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 2091 Southwest Flight history →	HOU 15:15	TUL 16:45	22%	6%	1.5%	52%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Tulsa on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	HOU 06:25 → MDW 08:50WN 2039	1h 10m Chicago	MDW 10:00 → TUL 11:50WN 680	5h 25m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557	1h 55m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → TUL 11:56DL 2620	5h 56m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509	3h 15m Atlanta	ATL 17:01 → TUL 18:04DL 2837	7h 24m	99%	79%
American Details →	HOU 06:03 → DFW 07:29AA 5492 · flown by PSA	3h 37m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:06 → TUL 12:18AA 3829 · flown by Envoy	6h 15m	93%	78%
Southwest Details →	HOU 17:40 → BNA 19:35WN 1957	3h 05m Nashville	BNA 22:40 → TUL 00:20 +1WN 696	6h 40m	100%	75%
Delta Details →	HOU 17:17 → ATL 20:32DL 2381	1h 46m Atlanta	ATL 22:18 → TUL 23:19DL 2043	6h 02m	92%	73%
American Details →	HOU 12:46 → DFW 14:09AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest	2h 42m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 16:51 → TUL 18:03AA 4133 · flown by Envoy	5h 17m	92%	72%
American Details →	HOU 10:18 → DFW 11:43AA 5071 · flown by PSA	2h 14m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:57 → TUL 15:16AA 5420 · flown by PSA	4h 58m	92%	71%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	HOU 16:14 → DFW 17:38AA 5002 · flown by SkyWest	52m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:30 → TUL 19:46AA 2889	3h 32m	72%	47%
Southwest Details →	HOU 18:25 → LAS 19:35WN 2003	1h 00m Las Vegas	LAS 20:35 → TUL 01:15 +1WN 4339	6h 50m	64%	40%
Southwest Details →	HOU 14:45 → DEN 16:30WN 5075	50m Denver	DEN 17:20 → TUL 19:55WN 4635	5h 10m	60%	40%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON