Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, B6 2601 at 08:00, with a 16% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 2601 JetBlue Flight history →	HPN 08:00	SJU 11:51	16%	7%	1.1%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Juan on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HPN 06:29 → ATL 08:46DL 2379	59m Atlanta	ATL 09:45 → SJU 13:32DL 1882	7h 03m	92%	78%
Delta Details →	HPN 12:54 → ATL 15:16DL 2044	3h 29m Atlanta	ATL 18:45 → SJU 22:29DL 1861	9h 35m	97%	77%
American Details →	HPN 07:55 → CLT 09:57AA 5403 · flown by PSA	1h 06m Charlotte	CLT 11:03 → SJU 14:50AA 783	6h 55m	91%	73%
American Details →	HPN 13:43 → CLT 15:50AA 5180 · flown by PSA	3h 18m Charlotte	CLT 19:08 → SJU 22:59AA 2830	9h 16m	96%	73%
JetBlue Details →	HPN 08:30 → FLL 11:27B6 813	2h 41m Fort Lauderdale	FLL 14:08 → SJU 16:48B6 1453	8h 18m	96%	65%
JetBlue Details →	HPN 07:30 → MCO 10:14B6 2695	56m Orlando	MCO 11:10 → SJU 14:12B6 133	6h 42m	91%	54%
JetBlue Details →	HPN 13:00 → MCO 15:47B6 495	1h 53m Orlando	MCO 17:40 → SJU 20:44B6 1133	7h 44m	95%	46%
JetBlue Details →	HPN 10:47 → TPA 13:29B6 1447	50m Tampa	TPA 14:19 → SJU 17:23B6 2851	6h 36m	75%	38%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON