Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


UA 4236 United flown by CommuteAir no forecast: 12-month record	IAD 08:15	MYR 09:59	22%	5%	0.0%	78%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	IAD 06:33 → CLT 08:00AA 1216	3h 20m Charlotte	CLT 11:20 → MYR 12:36AA 5883 · flown by Piedmont	6h 03m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	IAD 06:00 → DTW 07:35DL 3826 · flown by SkyWest	1h 10m Detroit	DTW 08:45 → MYR 10:39DL 1145	4h 39m	92%	82%
Delta Details →	IAD 06:00 → ATL 07:43DL 2127	1h 47m Atlanta	ATL 09:30 → MYR 10:47DL 3047	4h 47m	97%	82%
United Details →	IAD 08:15 → ORD 09:36UA 1775	1h 24m Chicago	ORD 11:00 → MYR 14:19UA 1332	6h 04m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	IAD 08:27 → ATL 10:18DL 3080	1h 30m Atlanta	ATL 11:48 → MYR 13:00DL 3182	4h 33m	95%	81%
Delta Details →	IAD 10:21 → ATL 12:05DL 1324	2h 07m Atlanta	ATL 14:12 → MYR 15:27DL 2467	5h 06m	97%	77%
Delta Details →	IAD 17:46 → ATL 19:54DL 1695	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → MYR 23:58DL 3074	6h 12m	96%	76%
Delta Details →	IAD 12:37 → ATL 14:28DL 1444	3h 20m Atlanta	ATL 17:48 → MYR 19:07DL 1093	6h 30m	98%	76%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON