Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, UA 1345 at 12:25, with a 23% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


UA 1345 United Flight history →	IAH 12:25	PBI 15:56	23%	9%	3.2%	74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach West Palm Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (West Palm Beach is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	IAH 05:40 → ATL 08:50DL 1069	2h 13m Atlanta	ATL 11:03 → PBI 12:54DL 1190	6h 14m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	IAH 08:05 → ATL 11:10DL 644	2h 48m Atlanta	ATL 13:58 → PBI 15:50DL 838	6h 45m	100%	76%
Delta Details →	IAH 16:51 → ATL 20:13DL 2890	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 22:59 → PBI 00:51 +1DL 1065	7h 00m	97%	75%
Delta Details →	IAH 12:09 → ATL 15:21DL 1682	3h 38m Atlanta	ATL 18:59 → PBI 20:51DL 1058	7h 42m	100%	75%
American Details →	IAH 05:02 → DFW 06:19AA 2551	3h 11m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:30 → PBI 13:21AA 2276	7h 19m	98%	74%
American Details →	IAH 06:01 → CLT 09:43AA 2011	1h 21m Charlotte	CLT 11:04 → PBI 12:58AA 2279	5h 57m	96%	73%
United Details →	IAH 05:04 → ORD 07:59UA 1044	2h 51m Chicago	ORD 10:50 → PBI 14:51UA 2342	8h 47m	100%	72%
United Details →	IAH 06:01 → EWR 10:36UA 1797	2h 31m Newark	EWR 13:07 → PBI 16:09UA 1797	9h 08m	100%	72%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON