Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: WN 370 at 05:30 is the safest bet, 4% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 21%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


WN 370 Southwest Flight history →	IND 05:30	FLL 08:10	4%	1%	0.7%	100%
G4 3485 Allegiant Flight history →	IND 11:02	FLL 13:44	21%	8%	0.9%	95%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	IND 05:35 → IAD 07:19UA 3997 · flown by Mesa	1h 01m Dulles	IAD 08:20 → FLL 11:07UA 1825	5h 32m	97%	84%
Southwest Details →	IND 05:40 → BWI 07:15WN 2113	2h 35m Baltimore	BWI 09:50 → FLL 12:20WN 4785	6h 40m	100%	84%
American Details →	IND 05:36 → ORD 06:00AA 4362 · flown by Republic	1h 00m Chicago	ORD 07:00 → FLL 11:04AA 1851	5h 28m	97%	84%
Delta Details →	IND 05:55 → ATL 07:30DL 3105	2h 55m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512	6h 28m	100%	83%
Delta Details →	IND 07:00 → MSP 07:49DL 2757	1h 01m Minneapolis	MSP 08:50 → FLL 13:25DL 673	6h 25m	94%	81%
Delta Details →	IND 06:55 → ATL 08:36DL 3106	2h 49m Atlanta	ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063	6h 25m	99%	81%
Southwest Details →	IND 06:45 → MDW 06:55WN 2133	55m Chicago	MDW 07:50 → FLL 11:55WN 4409	5h 10m	94%	80%
Delta Details →	IND 08:05 → ATL 09:41DL 1901	2h 50m Atlanta	ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341	6h 22m	99%	80%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON