tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 317 at 08:35, with a 21% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 317 Delta Flight history → JAC 08:35 ATL 14:15 21% 6% 0.8% 78%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 2 h ahead of Jackson). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → JAC 07:00 → MSP 10:26DL 3931 · flown by SkyWest 2h 19m Minneapolis MSP 12:45 → ATL 16:22DL 1048 7h 22m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → JAC 07:40 → SLC 08:50DL 4022 · flown by SkyWest 2h 15m Salt Lake City SLC 11:05 → ATL 16:49DL 885 7h 09m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → JAC 11:28 → SLC 12:38DL 4470 · flown by SkyWest 2h 53m Salt Lake City SLC 15:31 → ATL 21:25DL 875 7h 57m 100% 81%
UnitedDetails → JAC 12:33 → ORD 16:43UA 2357 3h 26m Chicago ORD 20:09 → ATL 23:30UA 2770 8h 57m 96% 80%
DeltaDetails → JAC 13:15 → SLC 14:22DL 2282 3h 33m Salt Lake City SLC 17:55 → ATL 23:58DL 905 8h 43m 98% 80%
UnitedDetails → JAC 07:00 → DEN 08:40UA 1978 1h 20m Denver DEN 10:00 → ATL 15:09UA 2424 6h 09m 92% 80%
UnitedDetails → JAC 07:30 → ORD 11:40UA 2032 2h 15m Chicago ORD 13:55 → ATL 17:10UA 356 7h 40m 92% 77%
UnitedDetails → JAC 07:00 → EWR 13:14UA 1548 3h 04m Newark EWR 16:18 → ATL 19:01UA 1848 10h 01m 98% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → JAC 13:43 → ORD 18:05AA 1974 54m Chicago ORD 18:59 → ATL 22:03AA 2779 6h 20m 71% 48%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON