Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 3931 at 07:00, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 3931 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	JAC 07:00	MSP 10:26	14%	6%	0.7%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Jackson). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	JAC 07:40 → SLC 08:50DL 4022 · flown by SkyWest	2h 20m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924	6h 00m	98%	86%
United Details →	JAC 10:35 → DEN 12:13UA 2170	3h 29m Denver	DEN 15:42 → MSP 18:46UA 2470	7h 11m	100%	82%
United Details →	JAC 13:42 → DEN 15:18UA 1717	3h 27m Denver	DEN 18:45 → MSP 21:50UA 2076	7h 08m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	JAC 18:05 → SLC 19:15DL 417	1h 50m Salt Lake City	SLC 21:05 → MSP 00:34 +1DL 1173	5h 29m	96%	82%
United Details →	JAC 16:23 → DEN 18:00UA 531	2h 54m Denver	DEN 20:54 → MSP 23:59UA 667	6h 36m	96%	81%
Delta Details →	JAC 13:15 → SLC 14:22DL 2282	2h 59m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:21 → MSP 20:54DL 2935	6h 39m	98%	78%
Delta Details →	JAC 11:28 → SLC 12:38DL 4470 · flown by SkyWest	1h 22m Salt Lake City	SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936	5h 04m	93%	78%
United Details →	JAC 07:30 → ORD 11:40UA 2032	2h 50m Chicago	ORD 14:30 → MSP 16:13UA 2298	7h 43m	95%	77%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON