Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: B6 2117 at 06:55 is the safest bet, 12% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 46%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


B6 2117 JetBlue Flight history →	JAX 06:55	FLL 08:11	12%	5%	2.3%	89%
B6 1417 JetBlue Flight history →	JAX 15:35	FLL 16:54	46%	18%	4.0%	45%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	JAX 05:30 → ATL 06:42DL 2722	1h 23m Atlanta	ATL 08:05 → FLL 09:59DL 1094	4h 29m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	JAX 07:00 → ATL 08:15DL 2450	2h 10m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512	5h 23m	99%	83%
Southwest Details →	JAX 06:55 → BWI 08:50WN 1181	1h 00m Baltimore	BWI 09:50 → FLL 12:20WN 4785	5h 25m	96%	81%
Delta Details →	JAX 08:17 → ATL 09:34DL 2569	2h 57m Atlanta	ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341	6h 10m	98%	79%
United Details →	JAX 07:05 → IAH 08:29UA 2453	1h 31m Houston	IAH 10:00 → FLL 13:47UA 2234	6h 42m	96%	79%
Southwest Details →	JAX 05:35 → HOU 06:50WN 2162	3h 20m Houston	HOU 10:10 → FLL 13:40WN 4355	8h 05m	100%	78%
American Details →	JAX 07:00 → PHL 09:14AA 709	1h 31m Philadelphia	PHL 10:45 → FLL 13:38AA 695	6h 38m	96%	78%
Delta Details →	JAX 06:15 → LGA 08:38DL 5797 · flown by Republic	2h 17m New York	LGA 10:55 → FLL 13:54DL 1181	7h 39m	98%	78%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	JAX 14:15 → BWI 16:10WN 2158	50m Baltimore	BWI 17:00 → FLL 19:45WN 947	5h 30m	71%	48%
American Details →	JAX 18:11 → CLT 19:45AA 1999	57m Charlotte	CLT 20:42 → FLL 22:42AA 321	4h 31m	72%	45%
Delta Details →	JAX 15:59 → LGA 18:28DL 5461 · flown by Endeavor	1h 01m New York	LGA 19:29 → FLL 22:52DL 2308	6h 53m	62%	38%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON