Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, B6 675 at 22:39, with a 36% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 675 JetBlue Flight history → JFK 22:39 BDL 23:59 36% 11% 0.8% 64%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Hartford on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

AmericanDetails → JFK 06:30 → DCA 07:59AA 4538 · flown by Republic 2h 04m Washington DCA 10:03 → BDL 11:35AA 4754 · flown by Republic 5h 05m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → JFK 06:00 → ATL 08:29DL 2286 1h 53m Atlanta ATL 10:22 → BDL 12:45DL 1082 6h 45m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → JFK 05:59 → CLT 07:57AA 2643 3h 54m Charlotte CLT 11:51 → BDL 13:50AA 1448 7h 51m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → JFK 07:56 → ORD 09:59AA 4356 · flown by Republic 3h 29m Chicago ORD 13:28 → BDL 16:52AA 3409 · flown by Envoy 8h 56m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → JFK 08:40 → ATL 11:23DL 2227 2h 33m Atlanta ATL 13:56 → BDL 16:16DL 2739 7h 36m 97% 81%
DeltaDetails → JFK 16:30 → DTW 18:57DL 2443 2h 33m Detroit DTW 21:30 → BDL 23:14DL 2989 6h 44m 95% 79%
AmericanDetails → JFK 09:30 → DCA 10:59AA 4671 · flown by Republic 2h 00m Washington DCA 12:59 → BDL 14:27AA 5059 · flown by PSA 4h 57m 98% 78%
DeltaDetails → JFK 07:15 → DTW 09:23DL 5080 · flown by Endeavor 1h 07m Detroit DTW 10:30 → BDL 12:13DL 2163 4h 58m 89% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON