Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 5151 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	JFK 13:49	BGR 15:42	17%	6%	3.8%	83%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Bangor on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	JFK 05:59 → CLT 07:57AA 2643	3h 03m Charlotte	CLT 11:00 → BGR 13:28AA 1463	7h 29m	99%	88%
American Details →	JFK 07:59 → CLT 10:07AA 1444	2h 53m Charlotte	CLT 13:00 → BGR 15:28AA 851	7h 29m	97%	81%
American Details →	JFK 09:30 → DCA 10:59AA 4671 · flown by Republic	2h 28m Washington	DCA 13:27 → BGR 15:28AA 5568 · flown by PSA	5h 58m	99%	74%
American Details →	JFK 13:59 → ORD 15:53AA 3321	3h 15m Chicago	ORD 19:08 → BGR 22:57AA 340	8h 58m	95%	69%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON