Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 36–41% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


WN 2422 Southwest Flight history →	LAS 12:35	PSP 13:40	36%	9%	0.7%	81%worse than usual
WN 2318 Southwest Flight history →	LAS 17:40	PSP 18:40	41%	14%	0.9%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	LAS 06:00 → SLC 08:19DL 2674	2h 26m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:45 → PSP 11:41DL 4042 · flown by SkyWest	5h 41m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	LAS 10:00 → SLC 12:29DL 1698	3h 11m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:40 → PSP 16:33DL 3852 · flown by SkyWest	6h 33m	98%	91%
United Details →	LAS 05:30 → DEN 08:32UA 596	2h 43m Denver	DEN 11:15 → PSP 12:28UA 1294	6h 58m	100%	83%
Delta Details →	LAS 17:00 → SLC 19:25DL 1672	1h 20m Salt Lake City	SLC 20:45 → PSP 21:34DL 4045 · flown by SkyWest	4h 34m	87%	79%
United Details →	LAS 17:32 → LAX 18:52UA 1971	2h 34m Los Angeles	LAX 21:26 → PSP 22:30UA 5461 · flown by SkyWest	4h 58m	100%	79%
American Details →	LAS 06:45 → PHX 08:00AA 1808	2h 40m Phoenix	PHX 10:40 → PSP 11:50AA 2330	5h 05m	97%	76%
American Details →	LAS 05:02 → DFW 09:55AA 1780	57m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:52 → PSP 11:51AA 2334	6h 49m	93%	74%
United Details →	LAS 11:30 → SFO 13:12UA 574	2h 44m San Francisco	SFO 15:56 → PSP 17:46UA 5354 · flown by SkyWest	6h 16m	98%	74%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON