tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: American via DFW, leaving 00:31, is the safest bet: 76% chance of reaching West Palm Beach on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 61% of the time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach West Palm Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (West Palm Beach is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → LAX 00:31 → DFW 05:41AA 971 3h 49m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:30 → PBI 13:21AA 2276 9h 50m 100% 76%
DeltaDetails → LAX 12:00 → ATL 19:39DL 446 3h 20m Atlanta ATL 22:59 → PBI 00:51 +1DL 1065 9h 51m 96% 75%
DeltaDetails → LAX 08:05 → ATL 15:41DL 782 3h 18m Atlanta ATL 18:59 → PBI 20:51DL 1058 9h 46m 99% 75%
UnitedDetails → LAX 05:45 → IAH 11:12UA 654 1h 13m Houston IAH 12:25 → PBI 15:56UA 1345 7h 11m 99% 73%
AmericanDetails → LAX 00:40 → ORD 07:06AA 2919 1h 02m Chicago ORD 08:08 → PBI 12:12AA 2269 8h 32m 88% 71%
DeltaDetails → LAX 09:50 → ATL 16:50DL 327 3h 40m Atlanta ATL 20:30 → PBI 22:22DL 1606 9h 32m 98% 71%
AmericanDetails → LAX 11:00 → CLT 19:00AA 1159 3h 56m Charlotte CLT 22:56 → PBI 00:51 +1AA 1764 10h 51m 99% 69%
DeltaDetails → LAX 06:00 → ATL 13:35DL 390 3h 05m Atlanta ATL 16:40 → PBI 18:36DL 959 9h 36m 98% 69%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → LAX 12:00 → ATL 19:39DL 446 51m Atlanta ATL 20:30 → PBI 22:22DL 1606 7h 22m 70% 51%
UnitedDetails → LAX 11:15 → EWR 19:30UA 1981 49m Newark EWR 20:19 → PBI 23:28UA 2650 9h 13m 61% 41%
JetBlueDetails → LAX 09:59 → BOS 18:42B6 988 53m Boston BOS 19:35 → PBI 22:56B6 2421 9h 57m 68% 36%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON