tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 4675 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record LGA 13:45 CHA 16:04 26% 10% 2.7% 74%
DL 5276 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record LGA 19:50 CHA 22:22 36% 18% 9.5% 64%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Chattanooga on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 550 3h 10m Atlanta ATL 11:33 → CHA 12:22DL 1737 6h 22m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → LGA 06:10 → ORD 07:49UA 2389 2h 36m Chicago ORD 10:25 → CHA 13:16UA 4543 · flown by GoJet 7h 06m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → LGA 08:00 → ATL 10:29DL 364 3h 57m Atlanta ATL 14:26 → CHA 15:17DL 3057 7h 17m 100% 83%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:59 → ATL 09:20DL 342 3h 53m Atlanta ATL 13:13 → CHA 14:02DL 3141 7h 03m 100% 83%
AmericanDetails → LGA 15:09 → DCA 16:46AA 4685 · flown by Republic 3h 13m Washington DCA 19:59 → CHA 21:57AA 4541 · flown by Republic 6h 48m 97% 82%
DeltaDetails → LGA 13:00 → ATL 15:32DL 994 3h 08m Atlanta ATL 18:40 → CHA 19:33DL 3150 6h 33m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → LGA 16:00 → ATL 19:07DL 969 3h 53m Atlanta ATL 23:00 → CHA 23:55DL 1059 7h 55m 99% 80%
AmericanDetails → LGA 06:00 → CLT 07:58AA 3084 3h 27m Charlotte CLT 11:25 → CHA 12:54AA 6127 · flown by Piedmont 6h 54m 99% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → LGA 17:20 → DCA 18:58AA 4773 · flown by Republic 1h 01m Washington DCA 19:59 → CHA 21:57AA 4541 · flown by Republic 4h 37m 75% 63%
AmericanDetails → LGA 16:00 → DFW 19:15AA 1608 46m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:01 → CHA 22:59AA 425 6h 59m 70% 49%
DeltaDetails → LGA 17:00 → ATL 20:24DL 968 46m Atlanta ATL 21:10 → CHA 22:11DL 5368 · flown by Endeavor 5h 14m 71% 33%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON