tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 5040 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record LGA 20:30 HSV 22:12 38% 19% 11.2% 62%
DL 5496 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record LGA 14:19 HSV 15:52 42% 20% 9.1% 58%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Huntsville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Huntsville is 1 h behind New York). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 550 3h 26m Atlanta ATL 11:49 → HSV 11:44DL 3068 6h 44m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → LGA 06:05 → IAD 07:31UA 3656 · flown by Republic 1h 29m Dulles IAD 09:00 → HSV 10:13UA 4262 · flown by CommuteAir 5h 08m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → LGA 09:00 → ATL 11:32DL 992 3h 57m Atlanta ATL 15:29 → HSV 15:29DL 3026 7h 29m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → LGA 16:00 → ATL 19:07DL 969 3h 53m Atlanta ATL 23:00 → HSV 23:01DL 3022 8h 01m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → LGA 06:00 → DCA 07:20AA 4612 · flown by Republic 1h 00m Washington DCA 08:20 → HSV 09:26AA 3997 · flown by Envoy 4h 26m 95% 82%
UnitedDetails → LGA 06:00 → IAH 08:44UA 2371 1h 21m Houston IAH 10:05 → HSV 12:08UA 4315 · flown by CommuteAir 7h 08m 94% 82%
AmericanDetails → LGA 07:55 → CLT 10:01AA 1023 3h 29m Charlotte CLT 13:30 → HSV 14:12AA 5806 · flown by Piedmont 7h 17m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → LGA 13:00 → ATL 15:32DL 994 3h 28m Atlanta ATL 19:00 → HSV 19:00DL 3171 7h 00m 99% 81%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → LGA 17:20 → DCA 18:58AA 4773 · flown by Republic 1h 01m Washington DCA 19:59 → HSV 21:07AA 3568 · flown by Envoy 4h 47m 75% 60%
AmericanDetails → LGA 19:25 → ORD 21:35AA 3318 57m Chicago ORD 22:32 → HSV 00:21 +1AA 6426 · flown by SkyWest 5h 56m 74% 59%
UnitedDetails → LGA 19:28 → IAD 20:55UA 6244 · flown by Mesa 1h 15m Dulles IAD 22:10 → HSV 23:24UA 4901 · flown by CommuteAir 4h 56m 72% 49%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON