tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 379 at 14:25, with a 27% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 379 Southwest Flight history → MCI 14:25 FLL 18:30 27% 8% 0.8% 58%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MCI 05:39 → ATL 08:43DL 1204 1h 42m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 5h 44m 100% 83%
SouthwestDetails → MCI 05:05 → BWI 08:30WN 2536 1h 20m Baltimore BWI 09:50 → FLL 12:20WN 4785 6h 15m 99% 83%
SouthwestDetails → MCI 05:15 → MDW 06:40WN 4276 1h 10m Chicago MDW 07:50 → FLL 11:55WN 4409 5h 40m 96% 82%
DeltaDetails → MCI 06:23 → MSP 07:54DL 1635 56m Minneapolis MSP 08:50 → FLL 13:25DL 673 6h 02m 95% 82%
SouthwestDetails → MCI 07:40 → BNA 09:15WN 2531 2h 00m Nashville BNA 11:15 → FLL 14:35WN 4847 5h 55m 99% 81%
UnitedDetails → MCI 06:16 → IAH 08:25UA 740 1h 35m Houston IAH 10:00 → FLL 13:47UA 2234 6h 31m 98% 80%
SouthwestDetails → MCI 09:30 → BNA 11:00WN 4649 1h 45m Nashville BNA 12:45 → FLL 16:05WN 4030 5h 35m 98% 80%
DeltaDetails → MCI 07:00 → ATL 10:03DL 1212 2h 28m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 6h 27m 99% 80%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → MCI 16:55 → DAL 18:30WN 1323 50m Dallas DAL 19:20 → FLL 23:10WN 46 5h 15m 68% 40%
FrontierDetails → MCI 18:07 → ATL 21:45F9 3500 1h 03m Atlanta ATL 22:48 → FLL 00:44 +1F9 2174 5h 37m 67% 31%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON